北掸邦军：后退等于将总部置于缅军炮火之下

论坛达人

      按：1）北掸一旦妥协后退，首府万海便将被笼罩在缅军的炮火之下，实在已经退无可退。2）历来出言谨慎、留足余地的果敢同盟军前所未有地公布战绩，亮明民族民主革命的旗号，毫不客气地要求“背信弃义、穷兵黩武、失道寡助的缅匪军……滚出果敢大地”。3）“难到和平”还能搞下去吗？再搞下去还像样吗？！
      【缅甸时报10月9日《缅军要求掸军撤出》】缅军警告说若北掸邦军不撤出一个关键据点，就将进攻其总部，这令富藏红宝石的勐秀镇局势紧张。
      北掸邦军说，缅军以其为靶子是因为该组织决定，与其他9支民族力量（大多在掸邦和克钦邦）一起拒绝与政府签订全国停火协议。
      北掸邦军发言人Sai La中校告知缅甸时报。昨天一名缅军军官给他打电话发出最后通牒。他说，北掸邦军不会撤出。
      “这个据点在总部附近，我们不能撤出。一旦撤出，缅军就能打到我们的总部，或轻而易举地向我方总部发动进攻。”他说。
      经过近两年的谈判，至今已有8个民族武装组织宣布愿意于10月15日与政府签订全国停火协议，但民族武装之间的分歧依旧。
      最新加入协议的是南掸邦军，它是在领导层会议后于10月7日表态的。它呼吁通过协商解决政治问题，并列出了十多个掸邦镇要求政府不要部署军队。
      这8个参加停火的组织都位于与泰国交界的东南边境地区。那些拒绝签约的组织，包括被政府排除在外的三个组织，大多控制着与中国交界的缅东、缅北地区。
      北掸邦军发言人提及，政府首席停火谈判代表吴昂民上周末宣布，大门仍然敞开欢迎更多组织加入协议，缅军不会以拒绝签约为发动进攻的借口。
      “如果他们真地想要和平，那就不应该在此时发动任何攻击。有些组织很快就要签订全国停火协议，而其他组织则不会。缅军正在向我方进攻，叫我们怎么相信和平进程？”
      北掸邦军相信有400多缅军屯兵于据点附近，说已联系主管停火谈判的政府联邦和平工作委员会，但得不到答复。
      无法联系到缅军询问其评论。
      有人担心战事将会影响到准备11月8日大选的竞选运动。
      最大的掸民族政党之一掸民族民主联盟要求缅军立即停止对北掸邦军和克钦独立军的进攻。


Tatmadaw demands Shan forces pull back
By Ye Mon   |   Friday, 09 October 2015
Tensions are building in ruby-rich Mong Hsu township after the Tatmadaw warned that it would attack the headquarters of the Shan State Progressive Party/Shan State Army (SSPP/SSA) unless the armed ethnic group withdrew from a key base camp.
The SSPP says it is being targeted by the military because of the group’s decision to join about 10 ethnic forces, mostly in Shan and Kachin states, that are refusing to sign a nationwide ceasefire agreement with the government.
SSPP spokesperson Lieutenant Colonel Sai La told The Myanmar Timesthat a military officer telephoned him to deliver the ultimatum yesterday. He said the SSPP would not withdraw.
“The camp is located near our headquarters. We can’t withdraw. If we do, the Tatmadaw can fire on or easily attack our headquarters. We would never withdraw from the security camp,” he said.
Eight armed ethnic groups have so far declared their intention to sign the nationwide ceasefire agreement with the government on October 15, following nearly two years of negotiations that failed to heal divisionsamong the diverse ethnic armies.
The latest to join the pact is the Restoration Council of Shan State/Shan State Army (RCSS/SSA), which committed itself on October 7 after a leadership meeting. It called for the resolution of political issues through dialogue and listed a dozen townships in Shan State where it called on the government not to deploy its forces.
The eight groups joining the ceasefire are mostly confined to areas along the southeast border with Thailand. Those refusing to join the pact, plus three groups excluded by the government, mostly control pockets of territory along Myanmar’s eastern and northern border with China.
The SSPP spokesperson noted that U Aung Min, chief government negotiator in the ceasefire talks, had declared last weekend that the door was open for more groups to join the agreement and that the Tatmadaw would not use their refusal to sign as a pretext for attack.
“If they really want peace, they should not make any attacks at this time. Some groups will sign the NCA soon, but not others. The Tatmadaw is attacking us, so how can we trust the peace process?” the SSPP officer said.
The SSPP believes more than 400 Tatmadaw troops are stationed close to their camp. The SSPP says it has contacted the government’s Union Peace-making Work Committee conducting ceasefire talks, but received no reply.
The Tatmadaw could not be reached for comment.
There is concern that the fighting will have an impact on campaigning in the run-up to the November 8 election.
The Shan Nationalities League for Democracy, one of two main ethnic Shan parties, yesterday called on the military to immediately stop its offensives against the SSPP and Kachin Independence Army (KIA).

来源：繁霜尽是心头血的博客

南书

缅政府军说话出尔反尔，没有一点信誉可言，缅政府再次上演停火秀，以停火协议为诱饵，借机消灭民地武，来达到他们的阴谋，这次的停火协议不能签，签了就等于自投火海，引火烧身。